An ICM Poll in tomorrow's Guardian puts the Conservatives on 41%, Labour unchanged on 31% and the Liberal Democrats down one at 18%. This is the Conservatives best ICM poll since August 1992. If you type these figures into Electoral Calculus you get a Tory majority of 74! Con 362, Lab 239, Lib 18.
When asked which party they would support in a contest between Mr Brown, Mr Cameron and Sir Menzies Campbell, Tory support rises by two points to 43%, while Labour’s drops by three to 28% - a 15-point gap. The Lib Dems remain on 18%. When you type these figures into Electoral Calculus you get a Tory majority of 180! Well, we can but dream.
As Peter Snow would say, 'Just a bit of fun!' But seriously, every single poll in the last month has shown the Conservatives heading for government. The big question is: how will the advent of Gordon Brown affect things?
Full writeup of the poll on Guardian Online HERE.